Thursday, August 27, 2009

Tonight's Preseason Player Notes



Chris Henry, WR, CIN: 2 receptions, 62 yards, TD (3rd straight game with TD)
Michael Vick, QB, PHI: 4-4, 19 yards, 1 rush, 1 yard
Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI: 4 receptions, 53 yards
Jason Avant, WR, PHI: 5 receptions, 92 yards
David Garrard, QB, JAX: 8 of 14, 93 yards, INT
Samkon Gado, RB, STL: 33 yards, TD
Byron Leftwich, QB, TB: 9 of 17, 100 yards
Cadillac Williams, RB, TB: 54 yards rushing
Maurice Stovall, WR, TB: 6 receptions, 73 yards
Anthony Fasano, TE, MIA: Receiving TD
Top 5 Fantasy Surprises in 2009
Mark Reynolds, 3B, D'Backs
We all knew Reynolds could hit plenty of home runs and strike out plenty of times, however an impressive .281 average, 21 steals and a career-high 38 homers has made Reynolds a sensational 3B option in 2009.  He still strikes out a ton, however when owners get those numbers across the board it is hard to argue with anything he does.

Outlook for 2010:  Likely to remain in the same spot in the lineup and hit in hitter's park.  With better protection in the lineup, his RBI and Runs scored numbers should actually increase.


Jason Bartlett, SS, Rays
When Delmon Young was traded from Tampa to Minnesota 2 years ago it was Matt Garza who everyone spoke of in terms of what the Rays received.  Well Bartlett's 2009 will change all that.  A .343 average, .390 on base percentage, 24 steals, 58 RBI, and 11 homers make him a keeper in many formats.  If not due to an injury during the middle of the season Bartlett could arguably be pushing Hanley Ramirez for the best season by a SS.

Outlook for 2010:  Bartlett will be an interesting case in 2010 to see owners buy into his career year.  In keeper formats he is probably a solid late round stashee depending on where you drafted him, while in re-draft leagues, he should slide into the 6-10 range of drafting SS's.


Ben Zobrist, OF/IF, Rays
Bartlett's teammate Ben Zobrist also makes the list.  Never a starter, it took an injury to Aki Iwamura to give Zobrist an everyday job and he has not disappointed.  A .290 average and on-base over .400 is impressive, as are his 74 runs, 23 homers and 15 steals all coming from a guy who has eligibility just about everywhere but Catcher. 

Outlook for 2010:  Zobrist may need a trade to force the Rays to give him similar at-bats in 2010.  Aki Iwamura will be healthy and unless they can deal an OF bat, Zobrist may have to force their hand again with another solid campaign.


Edwin Jackson, SP, Tigers
Jackson burst onto the scene in 2009 and made himself an All-Star.  Although his late season appearances have been somewhat shaky, his overall numbers are solid.  10-6, ERA under 3.00 and a WHIP at 1.21.  Not bad for a guy not guaranteed a roster spot out of spring training.

Outlook for 2010:  Jackson is a keeper and was always viewed as a talented prospect.  His late season struggles may just be a dead arm or over use since this is more innings then he has ever thrown.  Either way, playing for a solid offense, in a pitchers park, Jackson is a keeper for 2010.


David Aardsma, RP, Mariners
While Ryan Franklin is a possible choice here, he closed last year for the Cardinals and had to be looked at as an option out of spring training.  Aardsma was not and his 30 saves are outstanding for a waiver wire addition.  A 2.30 ERA does not hurt and considering he plays for a team meddling around .500, this is quite a performance.

Outlook for 2010:  You can always snag saves so no need to keep Aardsma.  The M's should resign him and bring him back.  Given the fact the M's play plenty of low scoring, close games, and play in a pitchers park, if Aardsma is back, grab him.

Other players considered:

Randy Wolf, Joel Pineiro, Heath Bell, Andrew Bailey, J.A. Happ, Andre Ethier, Nyjer Morgan, Kendry Morales, Asdrubal Cabrera
Players that will Take a Step Back in 2009



Matt Cassel, QB, KC
No Moss.  No Welker.  New offense.  New coach.  Cassel in no way will repeat his 3,600+ yards and 21 TD's to only 11 INT.  In an offense struggling for an identity in the preseason, with one legitimate receiving weapon, let someone else draft Cassel based off last years numbers.

Chad Pennington, QB, MIA
You can bet that teams are going to better defense the "Wildcat" offense in 2009 and Pennington's amazing 2008 will not be repeated.  He had a solid 19:7 TD to INT ratio, however with Chad Henne the QB of the future in Miami, if they get off to a slow start, expect Pennington to be moved to the bench.

Chris Johnson, RB, TEN
This is not to say that Johnson will have a "down" year, however with LenDale White in better shape and still seeing goal line carries, Johnson will be hard pressed to match his 1,228 rushing yards.  He may score 9 times as he did last year, but to expect that kind of breakout season two years in a row is asking a lot.

Derrick Ward, RB, TB
Ward signed a nice Free Agent deal in Tampa this offseason, however as indicated this week, Cadillac Williams and Earnest Graham will also see a ton of carries and Ward, who signed to become the starter, will have to earn his reps.  While Ward may produce when inserted in the game, a 3-headed RB committee is not good for anybody.

Jonathan Stewart, CAR
Many have hyped Stewart as taking a bigger chunk out of DeAngelo Williams' value in 2009, however I do not buy it.  He has missed 14 straight practices entering Thursday and for owners to expect a quick turnaround is asking a lot.  He will go early in drafts as owners see his 836 yards and 10 scores.  Let someone else grab him and you take Ray Rice or Leon Washington.

Brandon Marshall, WR, DEN
Whether attitude, injuries, or Kyle Orton, Marshall will take a step back in 2009.  Marshall had a stellar 2008 with 104 catches, over 1,200 yards but only 6 scores.  While Josh McDaniels loves to toss the ball aroud the field, in PPR leagues, Marshall wont approach 104 catches again and the yardage seems high.  McDaniels loves to use the TE, so watch Tony Scheffler get some more catches as well.

Antonio Bryant, WR, TB
Another Buc makes the list.  Bryant won many people fantasy leagues last year with his insane performance down the stretch, however with the uncertainty at QB in Tampa, stay away.  Bryant had over 1,200 yards and 7 scores last year, however the strength of Tampa's offense is its running game.  In addition, Kellen Winslow was brought in to lighten the load on Bryant, so expect a ton of targets to go his way.  While others are drafting Bryant take a safer option in Houshmandzadeh or Welker.

Bernard Berrian, WR, MIN
Berrian is already being bothered by an injury in the preseason and his value largely is based on long receptions as he led the league with an average of over 20 yards a catch.  With Favre at the helm and his arm strength decreasing, how many times is Berrian going to be targeted downfield?  He only had 48 catches in 2008 and is not a possession receiver.  Expect Berrian to be one of the first Vikings pointing the finger to Favre in favor of Jackson.
Fantasy Stars of the Night

#1 Star


David Ortiz, 1B, BOS: 2-4, 2 HR (21), 2 RBI, Walk-off HR


Other Stars from Wednesday
Joel Pineiro, SP, STL: W (13-9), 8 IP, 5 K
Andre Ethier, OF, LA: 2-3, 2 HR (27), 3 RBI
Brian McCann, C, ATL: 3-5, HR (17), 4 RBI
Bengie Molina, C, SF: 1-1, PH HR (16), 3 RBI
Overnight News and Notes

-Saints to employ 3-back rotation in 2009?
http://www.nola.com/saints/index.ssf/2009/08/new_orleans_saints_may_take_ru.html
-Justin Upton returns from DL for D'Backs
-Brad Penny released by the Red Sox
-Ethier hits 2 HR to power Dodgers past Rockies
-Favre creating "divide" in Pack locker room
-Grizzlies make offer to Iverson